By Eirik Solheim, fictional Still North staff member. Published .
Not peer reviewed. Fictional demonstration publication. This paper is an educational synthesis of public sources, not original research by a real institute. Illustrative examples are not measured findings. The cover is a generated illustration. SN-2026-063 is a local archive identifier, not a DOI.
Abstract
Converting an ocean heat flux into centimetres of ice can check physical scale without predicting sea-ice loss. This methods note uses published ocean-ice heat-budget research and the TEOS-10 framework to derive a conditional latent-melt equivalent. A hypothetical flux of ten watts per square metre over thirty days supports approximately 8.6 centimetres under explicitly simplified property and energy-allocation assumptions. Further cases show how conductive export, duration, area denominator, and reduced winter growth change the interpretation. The note distinguishes a bound on one specified energy contribution from an unconditional bound on total melt. It does not estimate a present Arctic flux or attribute observed retreat. Its reporting framework keeps system boundaries, counterfactuals, thermodynamic approximations, and unmeasured transport beside the calculation.
- Paper type
- Methods note
- Topic
- Sea ice and ocean
- Keywords
- ocean heat flux; latent heat; energy budget; melt equivalent; winter growth
- Format
- PDF, 2 pages; 1395 words
Sources and context
The PDF discusses these public sources and its limitations. A citation is not an endorsement of this demonstration archive.